Valencia – Chelsea betting tips for today, November 27, 2019
Football: Champions League – Group Stage – Round 5
Kick-off: 18:55 Valencia – Chelsea
Tip: Under 3.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50
Bookmaker: 1xbet
Match Result: 2:2 LOST
Match Preview
Valencia’s two preceding UEFA Champions League (UCL) home matches this term have provided contrasting three-goal margins (W1, L1 – GF 4, GA 4). In turn, each of their last four UCL home games have produced over 2.5 goals, with one half producing exactly one match goal. |
Los Ches’ last UCL home game yielded a 4-1 win, with Valencia trailing at half-time and not equalising until after the hour mark. Going back to November 2012, that stands as the last of Valencia’s six most recent UCL home wins. All of these saw both teams score, while the first two match goals were equally distributed on four occasions. |
Each of Chelsea’s four UCL outings this term have seen them separated from their opponents by a margin of under 1.5 goals. The away side on the day has opened the scoring on each occasion, going on to win three times, with Chelsea scoring the decisive winner beyond the 75th minute in their two away wins within that sequence. |
Despite winning five of their last six UCL group stage away matches since November 2015, Chelsea must still be wary. Holding out until half-time may be especially problematic, as they conceded an average of 0.5 goals per-game during the 31-45 minute period across that same six-game sequence. |
Players to watch: Ferrán Torres has scored beyond the 89th minute (and last) in Valencia’s last two competitive home wins, while Willian has averaged 1.0 goals per-match across Chelsea’s last three UCL away wins. |
Stat attack: Three of Valencia’s last four UCL home wins have seen the opposition score a second-half own goal, each of which was Valencia’s second match ‘goal’. |
Valencia’s last four UCL home games (W3, L1) have seen the opener (either way) arrive inside the first 25 minutes. |
Chelsea have conceded no second-half goals (with just 0.15 conceded on average any time) across their last 13 UCL away wins. |
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