Match Preview: Zwolle 2-4 Ajax Prediction and Betting Tips | Eredivisie

Zwolle – Ajax betting tips for today, November 1, 2019

Kick-off: 20:00 Zwolle – Ajax
Football: NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie – Round 12
Tip: Under 4.5 Goals
Odds: 1.62
Bookmaker: 1xbet
Match Result: 2:4 LOST

Match Preview

John Stegeman’s Zwolle are long outsiders for this clash – and for good reason. The hosts have won just 20% of the league fixtures in which they were betting outsiders since the start of last season (W5, D3, L17). That win rate over the same period increases only slightly (to 28.57%) when Zwolle are playing as home outsiders (W2, D1, L4).
The reasons to expect a home defeat pile up. Zwolle have not defeated the current champions at home in the league since the 1988/89 campaign, and additionally, Stegeman has won just one of his nine managerial clashes with Ajax (W1, D1, L7).
Ajax, by contrast, have scored more goals (3.18 per-match on average) and recorded more points than at this stage of any of the last nine campaigns. Unsurprisingly, eight of Ajax’s nine league victories have yielded at least a two-goal margin, whilst six have come after a won first half.
Going further back, Ajax have scored at least twice in 13 of their last 14 Eredivisie matches. They can take further encouragement from the fact that head coach Erik ten Hag is unbeaten in 11 of his 12 H2Hs with Zwolle.
Players to watch: Zwolle top-scorer Reza Ghoochannejhad scored in the Blue Fingers’ last home game. His only prior goal vs Ajax to date came in a 5-1 defeat (with Heerenveen).
Dušan Tadić (AJA) has contributed towards eight goals in six career appearances vs Zwolle (five goals, three assists). He failed to score in just one of those matches.
Stat attack: Six of Zwolle’s seven league defeats this term have come with a margin of at least two goals.
Ajax are currently averaging just 1.09 bookings per match this Eredivisie season.
Six of ten Hag’s previous eight managerial victories in this fixture (W8, D3, L1) have seen both teams score.