Match Preview: Parma 1-1 AC Milan Prediction and Betting Tips | Italy (Serie A)

Parma – AC Milan betting tips for today, April 20, 2019

Kick-off: 11:30 Parma – AC Milan
Football: Italy – Serie A
Tip: Over 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.36
Bookmaker: Bet365
Match Result: 1:1 WON!!!

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Parma are six points above the relegation zone with six games to go, but with no wins in five (D2, L3) and just two in 2019 (W2, D4, L7), Parma continue to flirt with danger. Their record of having the sixth-worst defence in Serie A (SA) – 50 conceded – is also a cause for concern.
Only two clubs have picked up fewer SA home points than Parma (17), who have just two wins in their last 12 SA home fixtures (W2, D4, L6). Parma also have the joint-lowest scoring record in SA home games (13), with only four home games (25%) seeing them score more than one goal.
Victorious in seven of the last ten SA H2H matches with Parma (W7, D1, L2), Milan recently ended their four-match SA winless run (D1, L3) with a 1-0 win over Lazio. They have the fifth-best SA defensive record (30 conceded) and over half (17) of their 32 SA games have produced less than 2.5 total match goals.
Having won just five of 15 SA trips this season (W5, D6, L4) Milan’s inability to close out games remains an issue. However, their strength at the back often still shines through, and they have the third-best defensive record in SA away games (14 conceded).
Players to watch: Returning from injury, Gervinho (PAR) will look to add to his tally of ten SA goals, while Franck Kessié (MIL) is aiming to score consecutive SA goals for the first time this season.
Stat attack: Parma have failed to score in seven of their 16 SA home games, for a joint-second worst record of that type in the league.
Milan have conceded 21 of their 30 SA goals (70%) in the second half.
The winning/losing margin has been just one goal in a clear majority (15) of Milan’s 22 SA games won/lost either way.

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